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Graded Stakes
Picture of Nathan M.
Posted
Here's a FG DB with races dating back to 11/23/2000.
http://www.thorostore.com/Demos/fg.zip

Every year I puff out my chest and beat the drum (and every year I ask myself why...). Maybe it just keeps the streak alive. Here are the last 3 years of results on the Turf at FG with the simulation:

2000-2001, 138 races, 27.54% wins, +33.36% ROI

2001-2002, 210 races, 27.62% wins, +6.10% ROI

2002-2003, 204 races, 25.98% wins, +30.29% ROI

Oh yeah, don't tell anyone, might kill the price Wink

PS. In case you were wondering what Profiler can do when it gets hot, here's the top ranked Profiler horse at FG in those same periods for turf races:

2000-2001:
107 races (start of database, so the first bunch of races were not counted as not enough data existed)
32.71% wins, +69.63% ROI (wow! Oh, wait, you were supposed to say that....)

2001-2002:
210 races, 33.81% Wins, +3.71% roi

2002-2003:
204 races, 25.98% wins, -5.93% ROI (notice the coinicendence here, the # of wins were the same as the sim, but the sim produced much more profitable winners on the average for this time period).
 
Posts: 1978 | Location: North East OH | Registered: July 23, 2002Report This Post
Graded Stakes
Picture of JustRalph
Posted Hide Post
Nathan

Any chance of getting a Turfway Database?

If my memory serves right, this time last year the sim was killing Turfway..... Big Grin

JustRalph Cartoon Character
Wannabe Horse Player
 
Posts: 503 | Location: Mid Atlantic Region | Registered: July 25, 2002Report This Post
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